Emberly7
0xbca8ab170593d0497fbcae3c6cc019d02245c51e
- Realised P&L
- $72.47
- Volume
- $182.2k
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $146.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 18? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $110.72 | −$0.07 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $20.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $14.96 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.77at 0.736Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
- +$73.12at 0.750Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-03?
- +$72.09at 0.745Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
- +$71.13at 0.750North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves
- +$70.19at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:36 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.00 |
| 09-17 06:26 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-17 06:26 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9980990991 | $110.79 |
| 09-16 06:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $147.00 |
| 09-14 16:15 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-12 22:56 | Mississippi State vs. Minnesota | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-10 15:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999873 | $73.00 |
| 09-10 15:28 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.39 |
| 09-10 04:42 | LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9920398249 | $146.00 |
| 09-07 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $145.00 |
| 09-05 16:57 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $145.00 |
| 09-05 16:56 | Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.99 |
| 09-05 16:56 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-03 15:57 | Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 5? | BUY | 0.9989999788 | $45.00 |
| 09-03 15:57 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |