Tomod
0xbc902b278bc84bc1c7d966d32a163c5e7f8834a7
- Realised P&L
- $14.32
- Volume
- $647.25
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $6.27
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.22at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.25at 0.239Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.15at 0.567Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$2.77at 0.265Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$2.02at 0.330Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:49 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:30 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:29 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1089999991 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:28 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.16 |
| 11-01 10:27 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 13:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.5499999587 | $4.00 |
| 07-20 13:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4869997716 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 13:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 08:23 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 10:59 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4624997861 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 19:58 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 19:58 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 19:57 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.375 | $1.53 |
| 06-10 19:57 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |