PolyBot

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Traders

Tomod

0xbc902b278bc84bc1c7d966d32a163c5e7f8834a7

Realised P&L
$14.32
Volume
$647.25
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$6.27

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6900.972$1.41+$0.41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2900.285$0.98−$0.02
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? · Yes0.6600.645$0.98−$0.02
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.1090.106$0.98−$0.02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.7500.725$0.97−$0.03
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0120.011$0.96−$0.04
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$1.36
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Timberwolves0.2050.000$0.00−$1.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4870.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.749999625$1.00
11-01 10:49Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
11-01 10:30Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.0119999999$1.00
11-01 10:29Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1089999991$1.00
11-01 10:28Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.025$0.16
11-01 10:27Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
07-20 13:13Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.5499999587$4.00
07-20 13:05Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4869997716$1.00
07-20 13:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.4$1.00
07-17 08:23France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.65$1.00
07-15 10:59England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4624997861$1.00
06-10 19:58Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
06-10 19:58Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.7$1.00
06-10 19:57Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.375$1.53
06-10 19:57Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.4699998778$1.00