PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JoShape

0xbc8f0ace4fd62dfe905afac7a00e7951a97e4e7c

Realised P&L
$10.96
Volume
$240.00
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$17.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.135$6.75−$0.75
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.0600.056$5.60−$0.40
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.055$2.75−$7.75
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.2200.090$2.25−$3.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 20:37Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.22$5.50
09-27 13:59Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.15$7.50
09-20 20:24Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.06$6.00
09-20 10:02Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$10.50
09-19 16:13Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Gladiators TrierBUY0.26$3.90