JoShape
0xbc8f0ace4fd62dfe905afac7a00e7951a97e4e7c
- Realised P&L
- $10.96
- Volume
- $240.00
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $17.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $6.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.056 | $5.60 | −$0.40 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.055 | $2.75 | −$7.75 |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.090 | $2.25 | −$3.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.96at 0.270Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Gladiators Trier
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:37 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 09-27 13:59 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 09-20 20:24 | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-20 10:02 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 09-19 16:13 | Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Gladiators Trier | BUY | 0.26 | $3.90 |