maarikamaarika
0xbc8cb197caca1618f419054b641c2fb4ec838d36
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $107.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · No | 0.962 | 0.995 | $51.71 | +$1.69 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.977 | $50.80 | +$0.78 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.955 | $4.97 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.91at 0.570Marlins vs. Guardians
- +$399.90at 0.570Orioles vs. Phillies
- +$395.17at 0.570Nationals vs. Royals
- +$231.22at 0.780Dream vs Sky
- +$3.07at 0.942Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:14 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.96 | $47.00 |
| 08-04 11:12 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9463262485 | $50.00 |
| 03-20 12:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999998 | $21.92 |
| 03-12 11:49 | Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $21.27 |
| 08-12 07:37 | Marlins vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.57 | $534.09 |
| 08-11 12:48 | Nationals vs. Royals | BUY | 0.57 | $523.83 |
| 08-07 11:00 | Dream vs Sky | BUY | 0.78 | $819.78 |
| 08-05 11:08 | Orioles vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.57 | $530.10 |
| 05-30 10:43 | Cardinals vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.55 | $499.95 |
| 05-23 11:30 | Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.55 | $525.25 |
| 05-20 06:13 | Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals | BUY | 0.52 | $550.16 |
| 05-10 10:48 | Golden Knights vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.55 | $530.20 |