PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

maarikamaarika

0xbc8cb197caca1618f419054b641c2fb4ec838d36

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$107.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · No0.9620.995$51.71+$1.69
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9620.977$50.80+$0.78
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9400.955$4.97+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:14Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.96$47.00
08-04 11:12Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9463262485$50.00
03-20 12:16Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9619999998$21.92
03-12 11:49Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.9699999995$21.27
08-12 07:37Marlins vs. GuardiansBUY0.57$534.09
08-11 12:48Nationals vs. RoyalsBUY0.57$523.83
08-07 11:00Dream vs SkyBUY0.78$819.78
08-05 11:08Orioles vs. PhilliesBUY0.57$530.10
05-30 10:43Cardinals vs. RangersBUY0.55$499.95
05-23 11:30Diamondbacks vs. CardinalsBUY0.55$525.25
05-20 06:13Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan RoyalsBUY0.52$550.16
05-10 10:48Golden Knights vs. OilersBUY0.55$530.20