PolyBot

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Traders

virsssyyi

0xbc8405b2c4149332c835ebb7e29e68e53eaba0d2

Realised P&L
$11.5k
Volume
$1.39M
Markets traded
9,724
Open portfolio
$40.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,724
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.789$31.6k+$11.6k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.210$8.4k$11.6k
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 18? · Yes0.5000.895$124.26+$54.84
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on September 18? · No0.9840.665$15.94$7.65
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on September 18? · No0.9800.805$4.03$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 2? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$3.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 14? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on May 23? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$70.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 7? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 3? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 2? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$4.40
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 13? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 7? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$4.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 13:58Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 13:55Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 13:54Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 13:07Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.98$4.90
09-18 13:07Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.99$17.53
09-18 13:02Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.5$19.42
09-18 13:02Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.5$50.00
09-18 12:15Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on September 18?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 12:15Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on September 18?BUY0.98$4.90
09-18 12:15Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on September 18?BUY0.98$13.69
09-18 10:45Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 10:36Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.98$16.66
09-18 10:30Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.98$16.66
09-18 05:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18?SELL0.65$3.25
09-18 05:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18?SELL0.65$3.25