virsssyyi
0xbc8405b2c4149332c835ebb7e29e68e53eaba0d2
- Realised P&L
- $11.5k
- Volume
- $1.39M
- Markets traded
- 9,724
- Open portfolio
- $40.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,724
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.010Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?
- +$2.7kat 0.001Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?
- +$1.4kat 0.143Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on January 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.091Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?
- +$1.1kat 0.143Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 13:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 13:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 13:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 13:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.53 |
| 09-18 13:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $19.42 |
| 09-18 13:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 12:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 12:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 12:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.69 |
| 09-18 10:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 10:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.66 |
| 09-18 10:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.66 |
| 09-18 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-18 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |