PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Karlutxo

0xbc5dd5b1c3d09ebfbf226f249f7113535baf6116

Realised P&L
$-38.29
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$18.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 08:10Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$4.90
07-20 12:13Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.25$2.00
07-20 12:12Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$2.00
07-20 12:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-19 21:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2779998226$1.00
07-19 21:06Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-17 16:32Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4$7.00
07-17 16:31Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.58$6.70
07-16 09:01Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.64199999$5.00
07-15 17:35Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5299997376$2.00
07-15 17:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4189999388$2.00
07-15 17:27Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.36$1.24
07-14 20:22Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.051$0.60
07-12 08:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.199$5.33
07-12 07:59Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5799999014$2.00