IDidNaatOhHiMark
0xbc0ad69fcb75a38acc3684acf02ded5cfdfc6fc4
- Realised P&L
- $91.87
- Volume
- $468.7k
- Markets traded
- 628
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded628
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.156Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$2.6kat 0.140Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.387Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$1.9kat 0.585Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$1.7kat 0.643Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 17:24 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.883 | $240.81 |
| 06-11 20:22 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $151.98 |
| 06-11 20:15 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $101.21 |
| 03-20 22:43 | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | BUY | 0.983 | $118.70 |
| 01-18 19:52 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $29.07 |
| 01-18 19:51 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $54.57 |
| 01-02 06:29 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $15.96 |
| 01-01 21:19 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $12.54 |
| 01-01 20:42 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $6.08 |
| 12-31 16:35 | Wizards vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 12-29 22:36 | Hawks vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 12-29 22:35 | Pacers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 12-29 22:35 | Suns vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 12-29 22:35 | Timberwolves vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 12-26 18:59 | Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $56.69 |