Elias.ezi
0xbbff90845765e6a2dd6243bdb439b1ef9d5d1612
- Realised P&L
- $0.01
- Volume
- $859.40
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $57.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? · No | 0.341 | 0.241 | $42.37 | −$17.63 |
| Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.022 | $14.66 | −$5.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9940633086 | $16.98 |
| 09-21 21:45 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3412408643 | $60.00 |
| 09-21 21:44 | Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $5.05 |
| 09-21 21:44 | Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0309387351 | $5.05 |
| 09-21 21:44 | Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0304567243 | $5.05 |
| 09-21 21:43 | Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0287020373 | $5.01 |