0x5EBbC0DF91594BAB49D2307Ddc7DeF44b5fC51A8-1720075447464
0xbbf634d1d756e12c792ea938557f5dc6b796dd01
- Realised P&L
- $-882.57
- Volume
- $47.2k
- Markets traded
- 670
- Open portfolio
- $119.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded670
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.66at 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$174.79at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$121.28at 0.667Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$119.38at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$87.78at 0.756Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:14 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:13 | Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:10 | Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.535 | $0.95 |
| 10-20 15:08 | Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.953 | $0.95 |
| 10-20 15:07 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.99 |
| 10-20 15:07 | Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.95 |
| 10-20 13:47 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 13:44 | Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.957 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:10 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9609999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:09 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:09 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.9239992164 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 16:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |