WindTakeMeNorth
0xbbea56528e414e3a494c5bc23d93770cc91ae2b0
- Realised P&L
- $26.0k
- Volume
- $443.2k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $53.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.2kat 0.549Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$6.2kat 0.855Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$5.1kat 0.787Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$5.1kat 0.480Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$3.9kat 0.768Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:14 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.40 |
| 10-30 17:13 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.36 |
| 10-30 17:13 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 10-30 14:51 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.11 | $41.80 |
| 10-30 11:03 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.53 |
| 10-30 10:44 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.11 | $47.85 |
| 10-29 09:56 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.12 | $103.32 |
| 10-28 08:50 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.12 | $53.64 |
| 10-26 20:29 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.933 | $746.40 |
| 10-26 18:00 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.727 | $146.13 |
| 10-18 04:31 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.2 | $32.00 |
| 10-15 13:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $198.00 |
| 10-14 06:35 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-14 06:35 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 10-14 06:34 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.29 | $145.00 |