0xbbe1ec0ea6f62fe4e3f3456a1dd712af0708ebb3
0xbbe1ec0ea6f62fe4e3f3456a1dd712af0708ebb3
- Realised P&L
- $7.05
- Volume
- $163.85
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $5.62
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.830 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.875 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.845 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.078 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.250 | 0.033 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.360 | 0.037 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.016 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.363Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- +$1.54at 0.400SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:47 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:47 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:46 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:07 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:23 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:23 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:17 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:07 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |