JasonBrown
0xbbc63aee290b51c965ed2406f1ba2018fa850c70
- Realised P&L
- $-654.65
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $206.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.49at 0.486AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
- +$10.39at 0.240Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 26?
- +$9.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 1?
- +$9.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 1?
- +$9.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 03:02 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.08 |
| 03-17 05:06 | Another US bank failure by March 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.06 |
| 03-17 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1876885351 | $4.01 |
| 03-17 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999624 | $4.27 |
| 03-16 11:48 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.08 |
| 03-16 10:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $7.54 |
| 03-16 10:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6136301096 | $5.62 |
| 03-16 10:36 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.649999988 | $16.30 |
| 03-16 10:35 | Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | BUY | 0.3899999765 | $8.30 |
| 03-12 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.10 |
| 03-12 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.50 |
| 03-12 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12? | BUY | 0.0203527082 | $1.07 |
| 03-11 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 13? | BUY | 0.6899999779 | $8.44 |
| 03-11 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 13? | BUY | 0.9284417135 | $11.38 |
| 03-11 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on March 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.88 |