PolyBot

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Traders

2kingminer1111

0xbbb181aa14a2b8970aa945fa78145f9918a12f98

Realised P&L
$457.26
Volume
$41.6k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9680.985$737.39+$12.61
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.981$718.71+$15.03
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8400.720$72.00−$12.00
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6400.590$59.00−$5.00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9370.028$4.00−$132.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:28Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.967$240.78
07-18 04:40Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.941$108.69
07-02 02:58Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$85.66
06-20 16:55Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$703.68
06-10 02:14Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$712.20
05-04 16:26Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.965$1.4k
03-02 10:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$304.55
03-02 10:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8837808459$40.33
03-02 10:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.839999999$100.00
01-20 03:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.9849999997$739.87
01-20 03:53Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$1.00
01-20 03:53Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$1.00
01-20 03:52Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$1.00
01-20 03:52Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$1.00
01-20 03:51Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?BUY0.001$1.00