2kingminer1111
0xbbb181aa14a2b8970aa945fa78145f9918a12f98
- Realised P&L
- $457.26
- Volume
- $41.6k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.985 | $737.39 | +$12.61 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.981 | $718.71 | +$15.03 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.720 | $72.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.590 | $59.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.937 | 0.028 | $4.00 | −$132.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$939.88at 0.232Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$147.03at 0.754Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$54.99at 0.615Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$54.00at 0.910Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$46.88at 0.924Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $240.78 |
| 07-18 04:40 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $108.69 |
| 07-02 02:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $85.66 |
| 06-20 16:55 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $703.68 |
| 06-10 02:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $712.20 |
| 05-04 16:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $1.4k |
| 03-02 10:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $304.55 |
| 03-02 10:48 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8837808459 | $40.33 |
| 03-02 10:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-20 03:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9849999997 | $739.87 |
| 01-20 03:53 | Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 03:53 | Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 03:52 | Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 03:52 | Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 03:51 | Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |