0xbBAEDF063a32d6b697E5f14133571A68A48B471E-1772888440455
0xbbaedf063a32d6b697e5f14133571a68a48b471e
- Realised P&L
- $44.06
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $255.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.747 | 0.820 | $241.50 | +$21.50 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.950 | $14.25 | +$0.75 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.82at 0.915Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$18.43at 0.942Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$-0.07at 0.836Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7438642358 | $200.00 |
| 09-18 14:11 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-07 02:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999719 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 02:32 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.957 | $17.23 |
| 07-16 13:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 13:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 13:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 14:04 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 03-07 14:15 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9151394769 | $629.17 |