0xbb75a6Dfb7ec836dCFCba3038DEdEAe7d0aFF28E-1777192987499
0xbb75a6dfb7ec836dcfcba3038dedeae7d0aff28e
- Realised P&L
- $293.93
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $502.57
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.83at 0.923Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?
- +$44.01at 0.445Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
- +$38.94at 0.610Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?
- +$20.50at 0.874Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?
- +$17.40at 0.751Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:26 | Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.158 | $15.80 |
| 09-16 20:13 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.78 | $93.60 |
| 09-16 19:32 | Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.158 | $34.87 |
| 09-09 06:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-09 06:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8478 | $42.39 |
| 09-09 06:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $15.12 |
| 09-03 21:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.90 |
| 09-03 21:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $19.32 |
| 08-28 07:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-24 20:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 08-24 20:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $32.40 |
| 08-24 06:24 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5995883507 | $30.57 |
| 08-24 06:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.3724308103 | $22.34 |
| 07-17 06:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.1046511628 | $4.50 |
| 07-14 11:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $55.90 |