PolyBot

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Traders

KARACAC

0xbb50fa724ac755197246d950008d6a0564ee7bfc

Realised P&L
$15.2k
Volume
$3.33M
Markets traded
3,100
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,100
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9670.997$2.2k+$63.66
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9170.935$512.83+$9.78
SHEIN IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4261.000$210.00+$120.50
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? · No0.6710.925$139.44+$38.22
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? · No0.7911.000$121.95+$25.42
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? · No0.8010.824$106.72+$2.87
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? · No0.6200.385$77.00$47.00
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes0.2890.210$61.63$23.22
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? · No0.5801.000$59.00+$24.78
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? · Yes0.5401.000$58.28+$26.81
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? · Yes0.1491.000$54.94+$46.77
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · No0.9000.943$36.78+$1.68
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.5880.090$15.16$83.83
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · Yes0.4230.205$8.16$8.68
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.5300.813$8.13+$2.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 10:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.92$500.00
07-14 13:40Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.967233103$2.1k
07-14 13:38Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.86$22.26
04-13 18:11Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.9$1.9k
03-19 17:10Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BSELL0.72$7.20
03-19 17:06Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.97$4.85
03-19 17:04Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.97$4.85
03-16 21:22Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.61$3.05
03-16 21:21Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.97$18.43
03-16 21:21Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.97$4.85
03-12 17:34Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.9529999609$1.00
03-12 17:33Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.9529999609$1.00
03-12 17:32Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.9529999609$1.00
03-12 17:31Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.9529999609$1.00
03-12 16:23Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?SELL0.77$16.49