KARACAC
0xbb50fa724ac755197246d950008d6a0564ee7bfc
- Realised P&L
- $15.2k
- Volume
- $3.33M
- Markets traded
- 3,100
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,100
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.939Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$716.59at 0.870Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
- +$640.02at 0.815Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$502.39at 0.809US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$424.50at 0.840Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 10:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $500.00 |
| 07-14 13:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.967233103 | $2.1k |
| 07-14 13:38 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.86 | $22.26 |
| 04-13 18:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.9k |
| 03-19 17:10 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 03-19 17:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 03-19 17:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 03-16 21:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 03-16 21:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $18.43 |
| 03-16 21:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 03-12 17:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.9529999609 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 17:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.9529999609 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 17:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.9529999609 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 17:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.9529999609 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 16:23 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $16.49 |