PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MichaelMorrison9717

0xbb2e2a10f2862546fa5acadf670b88cc566b7c01

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$230.3k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$276.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8130.151$148.32$647.61
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · No0.5100.455$39.13$4.73
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? · No0.8301.000$38.00+$6.46
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2500.045$26.28$119.72
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? · No0.8001.000$25.00+$5.00
Ledger IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2500.040$0.16$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 10:05Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?SELL0.83$6.64
04-27 10:03Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?SELL0.82$396.06
04-09 16:04Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?BUY0.83$439.07
04-09 11:57Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?SELL0.85$17.85
04-09 11:15Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$10.65
04-09 11:14Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$37.65
04-09 11:13Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$61.35
04-09 11:11Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$68.70
04-09 11:10Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$69.60
04-09 11:08Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$91.05
04-09 11:08Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$5.55
04-09 10:54Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?SELL0.77$5.39
04-07 12:59Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?BUY0.8$25.60
03-16 20:40Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?BUY0.51$43.86
03-15 12:30Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.14$321.58