PolyBot

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Traders

CasinoAskerz

0xbb13594ef24bcbd383229283ddc272d65a60311c

Realised P&L
$-363.78
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$443.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1820.195$405.08+$26.60
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.1000.045$22.50$27.50
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1790.061$15.72$30.13
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5 · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$241.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.0660.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:28Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$138.33
09-16 09:27Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026BUY0.1$50.00
09-16 09:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.0657450309$100.00
09-10 18:05Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$240.15
09-07 16:00Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.1793467632$45.85
09-06 16:47Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.8327520727$242.07
09-06 16:46Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.273181849$161.28
09-06 15:04Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.2205140851$97.87
08-24 23:03Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5BUY0.4$241.34
08-19 20:38Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.32$46.90
08-19 20:38Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.8599999973$250.00