CasinoAskerz
0xbb13594ef24bcbd383229283ddc272d65a60311c
- Realised P&L
- $-363.78
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $443.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.195 | $405.08 | +$26.60 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes | 0.100 | 0.045 | $22.50 | −$27.50 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.061 | $15.72 | −$30.13 |
| Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5 · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$241.34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.49at 0.253Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$-10.94at 0.865Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:28 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $138.33 |
| 09-16 09:27 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0657450309 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 18:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $240.15 |
| 09-07 16:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.1793467632 | $45.85 |
| 09-06 16:47 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.8327520727 | $242.07 |
| 09-06 16:46 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.273181849 | $161.28 |
| 09-06 15:04 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.2205140851 | $97.87 |
| 08-24 23:03 | Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $241.34 |
| 08-19 20:38 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.32 | $46.90 |
| 08-19 20:38 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8599999973 | $250.00 |