aouaouaou
0xbab11b271a193e633be98a1574ec54396b9257ea
- Realised P&L
- $210.98
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $268.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.78at 0.003Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
- +$90.25at 0.527UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$76.25at 0.463Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
- +$65.53at 0.510Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
- +$65.24at 0.363Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 16:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $24.00 |
| 09-11 21:45 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.0247058824 | $10.50 |
| 09-03 11:12 | UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 16:55 | Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.12 |
| 08-08 00:47 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 00:37 | UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-08 00:35 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 02:24 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 07-14 20:51 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 08:35 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.88 |
| 07-11 08:34 | Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48373 | $9.67 |
| 07-05 17:08 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 07-02 21:05 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 05-31 17:49 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.52 | $99.33 |
| 04-19 14:07 | Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.08 |