PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aouaouaou

0xbab11b271a193e633be98a1574ec54396b9257ea

Realised P&L
$210.98
Volume
$16.1k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$268.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2070.485$247.05+$141.48
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.715$21.45+$12.45
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.1000.010$0.30$2.70
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2520.006$0.16$6.46
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$10.85
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.03
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$10.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.5350.000$0.00$10.13
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Jirí Procházka0.5310.000$0.00$10.46
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $90? · No0.0580.000$0.00$7.46
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? · No0.3550.000$0.00$20.50
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$29.40
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026? · No0.0210.000$0.00$1.21
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$29.00
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$17.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 16:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$24.00
09-11 21:45Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.0247058824$10.50
09-03 11:12UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.5899999991$100.00
08-09 16:55Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$1.12
08-08 00:47Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.1$3.00
08-08 00:37UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.45$9.00
08-08 00:35UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$5.00
07-19 02:24UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.67$33.50
07-14 20:51Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$1.00
07-11 08:35Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.12$9.88
07-11 08:34Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.48373$9.67
07-05 17:08UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.67$100.50
07-02 21:05Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.54$54.00
05-31 17:49UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.52$99.33
04-19 14:07Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?BUY0.36$10.08