PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aouaouaou

0xbab11b271a193e633be98a1574ec54396b9257ea

Realised P&L
$35.26
Volume
$16.3k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$323.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2070.515$262.33+$156.76
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.6920.697$52.27+$0.38
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1240.117$8.62−$0.55
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2520.001$0.01−$6.61
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$10.85
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$3.03
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$10.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.5280.000$0.00−$10.00
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja0.4200.000$0.00−$20.00
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Jirí Procházka0.5180.000$0.00−$10.20
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $90? · No0.0580.000$0.00−$7.46
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? · No0.3550.000$0.00−$20.50
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$29.40
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$1.21
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$29.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 13:38No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.124$9.18
10-24 19:05UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.42$8.40
10-24 18:25Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.65$19.50
10-04 13:15Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.692$51.90
09-19 23:32UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4199999966$20.00
09-12 16:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$24.00
09-11 21:45Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.0247058824$10.50
09-03 11:12UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.5899999991$100.00
08-09 16:55Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$1.12
08-08 00:47Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.1$3.00
08-08 00:37UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.45$9.00
08-08 00:35UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$5.00
07-19 02:24UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.67$33.50
07-14 20:51Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$1.00
07-11 08:35Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.12$9.88