PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Intravertas

0xba9483d4c5f6b37d4d6c54255a4a7f075bc84e82

Realised P&L
$1.85
Volume
$405.31
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$201.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · No0.6590.705$112.35+$7.35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? · No0.6200.640$41.29+$1.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.775$16.89$0.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No0.8500.885$10.41+$0.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.925$10.05+$0.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? · No0.5300.555$6.28+$0.28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.9000.885$4.02$0.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July? · No0.7800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Solana reach $170 in July? · No0.5600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.65$26.00
09-14 04:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799998674$2.00
09-12 07:09Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 12?BUY0.04$1.00
09-12 07:08Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
09-12 06:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
09-12 06:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
09-12 06:43Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999688$15.00
09-12 06:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.6699999911$15.00
09-11 14:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-11 13:55Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?BUY0.5299999868$6.00
09-11 13:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.6599999979$50.00
09-11 13:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?BUY0.6199999907$40.00
09-11 13:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.6599998977$4.00
09-11 12:49Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.89999989$4.09
07-09 16:15Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?BUY0.239999856$1.00