Vic7hor
0xba843a2b38c84a6b972b81563a8254c72649b857
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $63.7k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $212.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$519.86at 0.284Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$227.32at 0.258Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$159.18at 0.487Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$129.17at 0.608US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$128.66at 0.599US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 23:10 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.0885683241 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 23:10 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.5117231986 | $200.00 |
| 08-21 23:09 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? | BUY | 0.0886524823 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2560696151 | $131.32 |
| 07-19 10:14 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 21:03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.9975 | $727.20 |
| 07-15 20:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 19:41 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2903514704 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 21:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 19:26 | France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 19:25 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3824999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 23:07 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4174999977 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 22:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.0188322202 | $10.60 |
| 07-11 21:29 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1776270784 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 22:07 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999988 | $50.00 |