0xbA806bD50962b9087EDBd4948456B05016361Ea8-1772196425831
0xba806bd50962b9087edbd4948456b05016361ea8
- Realised P&L
- $-143.04
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $75.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.221 | $23.46 | +$3.46 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.595 | $22.45 | +$2.45 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.105 | $22.45 | +$2.45 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.021 | $7.51 | −$7.49 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.72 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Solana reach $160 in April? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$291.06 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.22at 0.450US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
- +$6.95at 0.680Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-10.00at 0.019Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
- +$-15.18at 0.066Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
- +$-15.92at 0.298Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7699999976 | $57.72 |
| 04-18 13:00 | Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? | BUY | 0.0356057932 | $7.00 |
| 04-14 11:29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 11:26 | Will Solana reach $160 in April? | BUY | 0.0082444611 | $8.57 |
| 04-14 11:23 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $4.82 |
| 04-12 19:58 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.995 | $21.94 |
| 04-10 14:09 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.74 |
| 04-10 14:09 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.0608957898 | $4.08 |
| 04-09 19:05 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 19:05 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 19:02 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0664436541 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 18:57 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5841873276 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 18:56 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2985861854 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 15:20 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | BUY | 0.0192762829 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 15:20 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |