PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xbA806bD50962b9087EDBd4948456B05016361Ea8-1772196425831

0xba806bd50962b9087edbd4948456b05016361ea8

Realised P&L
$-143.04
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$75.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1880.221$23.46+$3.46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5300.595$22.45+$2.45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0940.105$22.45+$2.45
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0430.021$7.51$7.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.7700.000$0.00$57.72
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$7.00
Will Solana reach $160 in April? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00$291.06
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$20.00
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:21Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5BUY0.7699999976$57.72
04-18 13:00Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?BUY0.0356057932$7.00
04-14 11:29US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
04-14 11:26Will Solana reach $160 in April?BUY0.0082444611$8.57
04-14 11:23Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?SELL0.016$4.82
04-12 19:58Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.995$21.94
04-10 14:09Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?SELL0.08$2.74
04-10 14:09Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026?SELL0.0608957898$4.08
04-09 19:05Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.025$10.00
04-09 19:05Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.025$10.00
04-09 19:02Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.0664436541$20.00
04-09 18:57Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?BUY0.5841873276$20.00
04-09 18:56Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026?BUY0.2985861854$20.00
04-09 15:20Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?BUY0.0192762829$10.00
04-09 15:20Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00