PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Oliver798

0xba749b43f0303df44cdfc82ac06dd4cdae9be022

Realised P&L
$489.24
Volume
$185.2k
Markets traded
508
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded508
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? · No0.9830.970$484.75−$6.75
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · No0.5720.535$383.72−$26.27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.8990.957$252.91+$15.33
Will Top Esports Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · No0.9270.909$90.90−$1.80
Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Under0.6850.000$0.00−$136.99
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · ThunderTalk Gaming0.2140.000$0.00−$91.23
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · Anyone's Legend0.6400.000$0.00−$125.00
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Team WE0.4000.000$0.00−$125.00
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Karmine Corp0.5500.000$0.00−$100.00
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · G2 Esports0.4000.000$0.00−$100.00
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Top Esports0.3300.000$0.00−$100.00
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · Movistar KOI0.0280.000$0.00−$20.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$100.00
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Top Esports0.6900.000$0.00−$225.00
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · LYON0.2080.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 00:08LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.91$200.00
10-26 22:39LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.3652791834$83.02
10-26 22:19LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.88$200.00
10-26 22:10Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?BUY0.5799999992$300.00
10-26 22:10Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?BUY0.989$200.00
10-26 22:08LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8699999998$300.00
10-25 21:25LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.208003169$50.00
10-25 20:22LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.028$20.00
10-24 20:11LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.5499999995$100.00
10-23 21:00LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.589999998$100.00
10-23 21:00LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.2699999998$75.00
10-23 20:59LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.4$100.00
10-23 20:46LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8999999928$50.00
10-23 20:45LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8899999996$100.00
10-23 20:45LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.9$200.00