PolyBot

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Traders

ThomVeldhuis10

0xba70dc32c41b3849ee32a94a789ef7d8393edb6a

Realised P&L
$-10.73
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$13.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2000.145$7.25$2.75
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.1570.055$3.51$6.49
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.4200.135$2.70$5.70
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.003$0.21$9.79
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1700.002$0.08$6.92
Commanders vs. Vikings · Commanders0.5100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$15.00
Commanders vs. Giants · Giants0.5800.000$0.00$15.00
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$6.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$17.20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$15.00
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs? · No0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 13:16US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.89$19.82
01-29 12:53Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.49$33.32
01-16 17:37Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5BUY0.496031746$10.00
01-16 17:33Spread: Broncos (-1.5)BUY0.5099999786$10.00
01-10 21:23Spread: Packers (-1.5)BUY0.479999988$8.00
01-08 13:26Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1699999823$7.00
01-08 08:23Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.067$13.86
01-07 17:04Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.14$9.80
01-07 13:45Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.1568627451$10.00
01-07 12:34U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?SELL0.26$4.16
01-06 13:55Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
12-30 17:26Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
12-30 08:33Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
12-27 18:00Spread: Bills (-1.5)BUY0.5099999853$8.00
12-27 17:59Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)BUY0.5499999897$8.00