ThomVeldhuis10
0xba70dc32c41b3849ee32a94a789ef7d8393edb6a
- Realised P&L
- $-10.73
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $13.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.68at 0.490Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$25.20at 0.160Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
- +$20.70at 0.310Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
- +$13.85at 0.520Spread: Colts (-2.5)
- +$13.45at 0.527Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 13:16 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $19.82 |
| 01-29 12:53 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $33.32 |
| 01-16 17:37 | Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.496031746 | $10.00 |
| 01-16 17:33 | Spread: Broncos (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 01-10 21:23 | Spread: Packers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.479999988 | $8.00 |
| 01-08 13:26 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999823 | $7.00 |
| 01-08 08:23 | Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.067 | $13.86 |
| 01-07 17:04 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $9.80 |
| 01-07 13:45 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.1568627451 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 12:34 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.16 |
| 01-06 13:55 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 17:26 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 08:33 | Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 12-27 18:00 | Spread: Bills (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999853 | $8.00 |
| 12-27 17:59 | Spread: Jaguars (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5499999897 | $8.00 |