PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

franknf

0xba437000c61b446b8942f55b9fddcfabc4772ab9

Realised P&L
$10.62
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$61.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.4200.460$10.95+$0.95
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.2001.000$10.00+$8.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · No0.2401.000$8.33+$6.33
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · No0.6281.000$7.96+$2.96
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · No0.6601.000$7.58+$2.58
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3501.000$5.71+$3.71
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$3.44$6.56
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.2420.150$3.39$2.07
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8101.000$2.47+$0.47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2000.075$0.75$1.25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$0.75$1.25
ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes0.2000.045$0.45$1.55
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.015$0.15$1.84
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1800.005$0.03$0.97
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 19:22Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.015$1.50
04-28 19:22Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099999554$2.00
04-28 19:21ECB rate cut in 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
04-22 23:43Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.119999952$2.00
04-22 23:42Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
04-22 23:39Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
04-22 23:37Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
04-22 23:36Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
04-22 23:33Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
04-22 23:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.07$0.35
04-22 23:24US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
04-22 23:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
04-22 23:18Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.2342863266$5.13
04-22 23:18Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.409999991$9.53
04-07 22:58Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?BUY0.019423133$1.00