franknf
0xba437000c61b446b8942f55b9fddcfabc4772ab9
- Realised P&L
- $10.62
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $61.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.22at 0.090Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- +$20.08at 0.130Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$9.50at 0.345Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$8.00at 0.200US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 19:22 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 04-28 19:22 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999554 | $2.00 |
| 04-28 19:21 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 23:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 23:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 23:39 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 23:37 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 23:36 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 23:33 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 23:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 04-22 23:24 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 23:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 23:18 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.2342863266 | $5.13 |
| 04-22 23:18 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $9.53 |
| 04-07 22:58 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026? | BUY | 0.019423133 | $1.00 |