0xba38f6073ca6434b91e9969d66d2a17d6075f74d
0xba38f6073ca6434b91e9969d66d2a17d6075f74d
- Realised P&L
- $10.1k
- Volume
- $890.2k
- Markets traded
- 820
- Open portfolio
- $717.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded820
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.010Spread: Brazil (-4.5)
- +$983.18at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on December 28?
- +$750.91at 0.086Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$691.10at 0.148Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$651.00at 0.066Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:51 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0785624038 | $40.85 |
| 09-30 12:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0431036864 | $52.00 |
| 09-29 06:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | SELL | 0.0029984371 | $5.26 |
| 09-28 07:20 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.58 | $34.80 |
| 09-28 02:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0333517965 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 02:26 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $129.21 |
| 09-25 13:34 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.10 |
| 09-25 13:34 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 09-25 13:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.3488036025 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 04:16 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.1305643874 | $37.62 |
| 09-25 02:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | SELL | 0.01351 | $18.91 |
| 09-24 08:37 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in September? | BUY | 0.529999997 | $41.00 |
| 09-24 04:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.2518783844 | $320.48 |
| 09-24 04:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.2455967351 | $311.12 |
| 09-24 04:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.260929706 | $332.00 |