0xBa287c80CAb0bF35192bcDd36259BfE7F1ABE4F6-1788749220680
0xba287c80cab0bf35192bcdd36259bfe7f1abe4f6
- Realised P&L
- $375.14
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $784.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.072 | $783.18 | +$386.05 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.019 | $1.27 | −$8.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 11? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.88at 0.116Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:43 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0386612742 | $289.68 |
| 09-09 03:46 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.039 | $28.52 |
| 09-07 08:20 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0299999985 | $18.95 |
| 09-07 08:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 08:16 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $9.82 |
| 09-07 08:16 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1119999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 02:50 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0308200839 | $60.00 |