PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBa287c80CAb0bF35192bcDd36259BfE7F1ABE4F6-1788749220680

0xba287c80cab0bf35192bcdd36259bfe7f1abe4f6

Realised P&L
$375.14
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$784.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0370.072$783.18+$386.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.1500.019$1.27$8.73
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 11? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 06:51Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 11?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
09-09 06:43Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0386612742$289.68
09-09 03:46Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.039$28.52
09-07 08:20Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0299999985$18.95
09-07 08:17Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
09-07 08:16Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.11$9.82
09-07 08:16Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1119999904$10.00
09-07 02:50Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0308200839$60.00