PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polyinit-307-7d8874

0xba02da8f618b32c0281f1bf1815f517272057dd2

Realised P&L
$-71.61
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$17.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · No0.9200.946$3.08+$0.08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4500.655$2.91+$0.91
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4500.645$2.87+$0.87
Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year? · No0.7500.855$2.28+$0.28
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.6600.735$2.23+$0.23
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.725$2.16+$0.16
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8650.888$2.05+$0.05
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-22? · No0.2100.000$0.00$1.16
Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs · regain0.2000.000$0.00$8.00
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino · Adrian Mannarino0.2600.000$0.00$2.00
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner · Kiwoom DRX0.4940.000$0.00$8.00
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner · KT Rolster0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Seattle Mariners0.3700.000$0.00$2.00
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner · EDward Gaming0.3400.000$0.00$6.00
The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets · Iryna Shymanovich0.2000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 11:58LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-08 11:58LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-08 11:58LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-08 11:58LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-08 11:58LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2$2.00
08-08 11:58LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2$2.00
08-08 08:09LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-08 08:09LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-08 08:09LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-08 08:08LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59999994$2.00
08-08 08:08LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59999994$2.00
08-08 08:08LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59999994$2.00
08-08 08:08LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59999994$2.00
08-08 08:08LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59999994$2.00
08-08 08:08LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59999994$2.00