PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bartimeeus

0xba0229758a95f7e1f906a7b9101bf2c195cb6b23

Realised P&L
$-37.87
Volume
$31.0k
Markets traded
413
Open portfolio
$28.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded413
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? · Yes0.5200.485$9.33−$0.67
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? · Yes0.2800.115$8.21−$11.79
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0080.002$6.29−$17.71
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2700.135$5.00−$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 5? · No0.0810.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 7? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 28? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 7? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 3? · No0.0340.000$0.00−$22.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11? · No0.3980.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2? · Yes0.4180.000$0.00−$23.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 09:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 30?SELL0.55$12.22
09-26 20:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 30?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-26 20:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.2799999978$20.00
09-26 20:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?BUY0.5199999792$10.00
09-24 14:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?SELL0.75$25.86
09-24 14:49Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 28?SELL0.59$25.65
09-22 06:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?BUY0.5799999936$20.00
09-22 06:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 28?BUY0.4599999986$20.00
09-22 04:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 27?SELL0.57$12.67
09-22 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27?SELL0.66$22.92
09-21 06:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 27?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-21 06:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27?BUY0.2880012709$10.00
09-03 14:04Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0175759795$4.00
09-02 14:09Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0069999986$5.00
09-02 13:31Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0068124748$15.00