PolyBot

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Traders

0xB9Efc7564Bc9471D8C6912443eb1f384f934410b-1770131360873

0xb9efc7564bc9471d8c6912443eb1f384f934410b

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$686.1k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$6.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0120.001$2.04$47.96
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0900.019$1.73$6.27
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0080.001$1.25$18.75
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$1.16$18.84
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$0.30$2.70
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$0.25$2.25
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0280.001$0.16$8.84
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$8.00
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$25.57
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.33
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$35.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$16.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 11:41Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?BUY0.0104491758$2.33
07-17 11:40Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.004$5.00
07-17 11:40President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.02$5.00
07-17 11:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0084851288$4.94
07-17 11:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.011$20.00
07-17 11:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0369999983$20.00
07-17 11:36Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$20.00
06-26 20:04Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.02$2.00
06-26 16:12Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.1699999422$2.00
06-26 16:11Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-26 16:10Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.0540000015$2.00
06-26 16:10Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
06-26 16:10Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.08$5.00
06-26 16:10Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.25$5.00
06-26 16:09Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.1899999726$5.00