Bohemian
0xb9e50ed239a11755cc1bba501fed4b084072f82e
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $113.8k
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$652.16at 0.721Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
- +$198.87at 0.952Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$140.00at 0.300Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?
- +$131.22at 0.749Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$117.00at 0.238US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:28 | Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 09-16 16:43 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $14.86 |
| 09-12 20:15 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-11 06:05 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.657 | $147.42 |
| 08-04 18:15 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $51.25 |
| 08-04 18:14 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-04 18:13 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $67.11 |
| 08-02 05:35 | Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15? | BUY | 0.35 | $38.50 |
| 08-02 05:28 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.7073437223 | $39.94 |
| 06-02 12:14 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.082 | $1.64 |
| 05-14 19:02 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 05-14 18:58 | Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $88.11 |
| 05-14 04:29 | Will Slavia Prague win Czechia Fortuna Liga? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 05-09 21:16 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09? | SELL | 0.449 | $33.68 |
| 05-09 21:15 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-09? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.77 |