PolyBot

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Traders

frostedtipped

0xb9d73acbb52b68e965d6d8452d19ed21f9f31e8f

Realised P&L
$-113.92
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$100.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0990.205$20.78+$10.82
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.1200.292$16.16+$9.52
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.2201.000$9.09+$7.09
Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0300.026$8.63$1.33
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No0.9061.000$5.20+$0.49
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0120.013$4.11+$0.11
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$3.75$0.25
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0090.011$3.65+$0.65
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.2650.066$2.87$8.75
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0070.005$2.13$0.87
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0570.053$1.86$0.14
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.099$1.64$0.36
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.026$1.53+$0.53
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0270.011$1.29$1.71
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.032$1.26+$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 22:59Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$1.00
04-01 22:59Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.007$1.00
04-01 22:59Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$1.00
04-01 22:59Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.006$1.00
04-01 22:59Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
04-01 22:59Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.006$1.00
04-01 22:59Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$1.00
04-01 22:59Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$1.00
04-01 22:58Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.016$1.00
04-01 22:58Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$1.00
04-01 22:58Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$1.00
04-01 22:58Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.007$1.00
04-01 22:58Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.016$1.00
04-01 22:58Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.007$1.00
04-01 22:58Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0179999825$1.00