frostedtipped
0xb9d73acbb52b68e965d6d8452d19ed21f9f31e8f
- Realised P&L
- $-113.92
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $100.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.23at 0.663Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$0.73at 0.873Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
- +$0.49at 0.910Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
- +$0.40at 0.961Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?
- +$0.39at 0.962Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 22:59 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |