0xb9B3579d895d10AcAF30351D03f53BD5524Dbd27-1765810720489
0xb9b3579d895d10acaf30351d03f53bd5524dbd27
- Realised P&L
- $-40.90
- Volume
- $55.7k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $1.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.011 | $0.77 | −$9.03 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.036 | $0.36 | −$0.94 |
| Will NewJeans perform again by March 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Up | 0.609 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$44.00at 0.060Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
- +$31.00at 0.483Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$30.48at 0.070Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
- +$28.40at 0.250US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 13:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 03-26 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.39 |
| 03-26 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.09 |
| 03-26 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0130000001 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 09:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 03-26 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $5.27 |
| 03-26 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $4.97 |
| 03-26 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $5.29 |
| 03-26 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $4.89 |
| 03-26 09:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 03-25 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $6.49 |
| 03-25 16:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $5.53 |
| 03-25 15:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $5.83 |
| 03-25 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $6.10 |
| 03-25 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $5.33 |