Manchild
0xb9a74e3170401e578b1b9c8fabb49b05462ef50f
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $117.4k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$764.85at 0.524Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$495.00at 0.500Big Game: Coin Toss
- +$427.66at 0.195UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$405.84at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$403.18at 0.194Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:54 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $38.51 |
| 09-03 05:43 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 05:36 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.298 | $11.92 |
| 09-03 05:36 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.298 | $11.92 |
| 09-03 05:36 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.297 | $15.35 |
| 09-03 05:36 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.296 | $8.89 |
| 09-03 05:36 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.294 | $18.39 |
| 09-03 05:36 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.291 | $10.95 |
| 08-16 20:56 | Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $135.00 |
| 07-15 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $582.00 |
| 07-15 08:46 | Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $39.15 |
| 07-15 08:46 | Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.57 |
| 07-14 22:46 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.426 | $85.20 |
| 07-03 04:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.006 | $17.23 |
| 07-03 04:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.23 |