PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Manchild

0xb9a74e3170401e578b1b9c8fabb49b05462ef50f

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$117.4k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0810.115$881.07+$256.84
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings? · Yes0.4170.931$795.20+$438.79
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? · No0.4470.465$304.48+$11.86
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? · No0.3480.988$250.00+$161.82
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2720.362$218.22+$54.36
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.905$199.24+$104.49
Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.6220.935$178.30+$59.68
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6800.595$90.44$12.92
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.5800.815$81.50+$23.50
Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.6980.965$77.25+$21.38
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes0.3560.900$43.29+$26.18
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.8600.976$34.44+$4.09
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6430.905$34.41+$9.97
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0420.028$34.13$17.99
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6750.567$30.27$5.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 23:54Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5BUY0.5$38.51
09-03 05:43Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$5.00
09-03 05:36Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.298$11.92
09-03 05:36Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.298$11.92
09-03 05:36Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.297$15.35
09-03 05:36Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.296$8.89
09-03 05:36Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.294$18.39
09-03 05:36Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.291$10.95
08-16 20:56Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?BUY0.45$135.00
07-15 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$582.00
07-15 08:46Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?BUY0.44$39.15
07-15 08:46Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?BUY0.43$9.57
07-14 22:46Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.426$85.20
07-03 04:58Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?BUY0.006$17.23
07-03 04:58Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?BUY0.003$6.23