Manchild
0xb9a74e3170401e578b1b9c8fabb49b05462ef50f
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $114.0k
- Markets traded
- 322
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded322
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$764.85at 0.525Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$495.00at 0.500Big Game: Coin Toss
- +$430.11at 0.190UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$418.00at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$405.48at 0.189Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $582.00 |
| 07-15 08:46 | Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $39.15 |
| 07-15 08:46 | Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.57 |
| 07-14 22:46 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.426 | $85.20 |
| 07-03 04:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.006 | $17.23 |
| 07-03 04:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.23 |
| 07-03 04:57 | Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.58 |
| 07-03 04:56 | Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | SELL | 0.9643912734 | $81.34 |
| 07-03 04:06 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.094 | $11.00 |
| 07-03 04:06 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.093 | $6.32 |
| 07-03 04:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.086 | $1.89 |
| 07-03 04:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.085 | $0.43 |
| 07-03 01:18 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6298514298 | $360.35 |
| 06-30 22:40 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 22:38 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.81 | $7.34 |