0xB986084A183A218B59E97B2ddF1d3E2da9e04B60-1772464454915
0xb986084a183a218b59e97b2ddf1d3e2da9e04b60
- Realised P&L
- $-632.66
- Volume
- $114.4k
- Markets traded
- 488
- Open portfolio
- $658.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded488
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$968.98at 0.118Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$570.74at 0.305Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
- +$451.47at 0.312Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$295.80at 0.300Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$225.89at 0.631US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:17 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5303377266 | $48.00 |
| 09-17 15:17 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.75 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 15:16 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 15:16 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5119130826 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 15:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3325859904 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 15:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:56 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 14:55 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:55 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 14:54 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:53 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4847662215 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 14:50 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |