0xB986084A183A218B59E97B2ddF1d3E2da9e04B60-1772464454915
0xb986084a183a218b59e97b2ddf1d3e2da9e04b60
- Realised P&L
- $-812.79
- Volume
- $122.5k
- Markets traded
- 537
- Open portfolio
- $414.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded537
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$968.98at 0.118Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$570.74at 0.305Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
- +$451.47at 0.312Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$295.80at 0.300Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$281.02at 0.474Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 16:09 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.30 |
| 10-23 16:07 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.84 |
| 10-23 16:02 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $17.42 |
| 10-23 16:01 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 10-23 15:36 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.17 |
| 10-23 15:35 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.67 |
| 10-23 15:35 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.76 |
| 10-23 15:35 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 10-23 15:35 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-23 15:35 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $11.70 |
| 10-23 15:31 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $45.00 |
| 10-23 15:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0268350123 | $37.67 |
| 10-23 15:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359684255 | $50.00 |
| 10-21 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |