PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

btsproof

0xb976b1cf4006189198c31726a3196680f82dc213

Realised P&L
$-965.11
Volume
$136.4k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? · SpaceX0.7280.722$1.1k$9.90
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2590.856$216.44+$150.91
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.7900.490$202.86$124.20
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.975$96.48+$20.25
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.5700.765$2.29+$0.58
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? · No0.5001.000$1.00+$0.50
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? · No0.7001.000$1.00+$0.30
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$107.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 09:12Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.2$42.00
04-27 09:11Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.2$103.40
04-27 08:04Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$219.78
04-27 07:57Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$219.12
04-23 11:43Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$452.20
04-23 08:49Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.22$159.94
04-12 01:23Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.63$98.28
04-11 09:16Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?SELL0.22$145.86
04-11 09:15Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?SELL0.22$148.50
04-11 02:20Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.71$110.76
04-11 01:22Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.5$669.00
04-09 11:47Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL0.015$0.96
04-09 11:45Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL0.015$7.35
04-09 11:05Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.15$37.65
04-09 10:11Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.89$402.28