cdrakos
0xb96db3551e628dd8d7c07a6d93a9a04d82736a79
- Realised P&L
- $-114.62
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $493.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.705 | $324.56 | +$102.56 |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.280 | $169.26 | −$122.87 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.28at 0.900Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$2.40at 0.976Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 16:47 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $32.13 |
| 07-08 16:47 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.5378496765 | $50.00 |
| 07-08 16:46 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 16:44 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.4620909949 | $200.00 |
| 01-07 10:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4822289455 | $222.00 |
| 11-19 08:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? | BUY | 0.6899999982 | $109.00 |
| 11-08 12:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $110.55 |
| 11-07 15:27 | Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.976218379 | $98.68 |