PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fakwar

0xb94a65cbe182a6e75adfe6cc583b2e394800a623

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$140.9k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.845$640.15+$140.15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.8200.785$157.00−$7.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6700.715$143.00+$9.00
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.2800.315$112.45+$12.44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4500.640$89.60+$26.60
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? · Yes0.7150.000$0.00−$161.00
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · Xtreme Gaming0.0750.000$0.00−$30.00
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6950.000$0.00−$100.00
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · BetBoom Team0.7900.000$0.00−$320.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 13:34Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.29$60.90
10-04 13:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.67$134.00
10-04 12:10Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?BUY0.45$63.00
10-04 10:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.82$164.00
10-03 14:07Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.2699122222$24.29
10-03 13:32Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.26$14.82
09-29 16:06Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.5569936$556.99
09-28 12:09Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.54$540.00
09-20 20:59Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.098999676$82.50
09-20 02:07Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.4389999996$100.00
09-17 03:05Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.73$521.42
09-07 14:59Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3599999994$300.00
09-04 11:44Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6999999999$500.00
08-20 12:32Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.0625194412$8.68
08-20 11:02Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.5399999968$75.00