PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

15xiang777

0xb946e954dfdf909eec31023dc5f3cd8f9b8c78ca

Realised P&L
$-6.73
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$5.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4700.502$2.14+$0.14
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes0.3300.335$2.03+$0.03
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.1700.165$0.97−$0.03
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0230.017$0.72−$0.28
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$3.57
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 04:24Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-28 04:24Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.0229999999$1.00
08-12 14:08Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
03-28 12:18Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.9929126356$465.37
03-28 08:00Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0132643313$3.57
03-20 14:40Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.99$494.00
03-20 14:38Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.01$2.70
03-20 14:32Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?SELL0.003$0.90
03-15 00:26Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?BUY0.008$2.40
03-15 00:24Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.993$481.10
03-08 04:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.986$491.99
03-03 13:30Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.006$2.51
03-03 13:30Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.004$2.00
03-03 13:29Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.006$3.00
03-03 09:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.986$492.00