15xiang777
0xb946e954dfdf909eec31023dc5f3cd8f9b8c78ca
- Realised P&L
- $-6.73
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $5.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.502 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.335 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.017 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.57 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.39at 0.993Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$3.16at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$2.46at 0.912Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.62at 0.997Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?
- +$1.60at 0.920Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:24 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:24 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 14:08 | Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 03-28 12:18 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929126356 | $465.37 |
| 03-28 08:00 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.0132643313 | $3.57 |
| 03-20 14:40 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.99 | $494.00 |
| 03-20 14:38 | Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.70 |
| 03-20 14:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.90 |
| 03-15 00:26 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.40 |
| 03-15 00:24 | Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.993 | $481.10 |
| 03-08 04:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.986 | $491.99 |
| 03-03 13:30 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.51 |
| 03-03 13:30 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 03-03 13:29 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 03-03 09:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.986 | $492.00 |