PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vrollins

0xb93c5a6572ddc89a3ff4153e578098a445096625

Realised P&L
$3.09
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$32.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16? · No0.7600.850$23.20+$2.46
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No0.8201.000$9.44+$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:51Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$5.81
01-30 15:56Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.999$4.48
01-30 15:10Will Solana dip to $80 in January?BUY0.999$8.70
01-30 14:27Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?BUY0.9959999675$12.86
01-30 14:11Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?BUY0.999$26.72
01-30 11:10Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?BUY0.998$17.51
01-30 11:07Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.9969999925$61.32
12-30 10:12Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999908$12.87
12-30 09:02Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?BUY0.998$24.57
12-29 19:34Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?BUY0.9989999776$27.36
12-29 19:23Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?BUY0.998$43.72
10-30 19:57Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?BUY0.999$35.91
10-30 18:11Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$35.19
09-29 15:24Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$10.53
09-29 05:33Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.995$18.02