vrollins
0xb93c5a6572ddc89a3ff4153e578098a445096625
- Realised P&L
- $3.09
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $32.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16? · No | 0.760 | 0.850 | $23.20 | +$2.46 |
| Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No | 0.820 | 1.000 | $9.44 | +$1.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.55at 0.790Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$5.32at 0.760Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?
- +$5.01at 0.998Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May?
- +$4.85at 0.600Solana above $185 on January 3?
- +$3.42at 0.380World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:51 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.81 |
| 01-30 15:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.48 |
| 01-30 15:10 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.70 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9959999675 | $12.86 |
| 01-30 14:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.72 |
| 01-30 11:10 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.51 |
| 01-30 11:07 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999925 | $61.32 |
| 12-30 10:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999908 | $12.87 |
| 12-30 09:02 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.57 |
| 12-29 19:34 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999776 | $27.36 |
| 12-29 19:23 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $43.72 |
| 10-30 19:57 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.91 |
| 10-30 18:11 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.19 |
| 09-29 15:24 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.53 |
| 09-29 05:33 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.02 |