0x893edd9eaC88dB81940165d09EE7e06c7E777Fe2-1773973607394
0xb9356a7110f52d3eccc6ebd94f98d3acd0915649
- Realised P&L
- $1.49
- Volume
- $23.17
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $11.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.785 | $4.21 | +$1.21 |
| Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.475 | $2.69 | −$0.20 |
| Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.735 | $2.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.435 | $1.95 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.671Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 17:23 | Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | BUY | 0.5099999735 | $2.89 |
| 08-23 17:17 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $3.00 |
| 08-16 22:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |
| 08-16 22:07 | Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.6599997844 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |