vicoespinoza
0xb92f727d9435cb73ac83b6f7185229eed56bc915
- Realised P&L
- $-188.08
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $23.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.162 | $13.74 | −$6.26 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.386 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Evo Morales arrested by May 31? · Yes | 0.612 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.03at 0.596Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
- +$20.30at 0.750Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$8.46at 0.922Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
- +$7.41at 0.577Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$5.52at 0.647Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 23:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 12:15 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999987 | $40.00 |
| 07-10 12:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 12:14 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 03:19 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7399999975 | $60.00 |
| 07-03 22:51 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 20:29 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9199999915 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 23:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2349999937 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 22:30 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:19 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:16 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 13:27 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 05-14 23:06 | Evo Morales arrested by May 31? | BUY | 0.6118604151 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 23:04 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.034999989 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 23:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |