0xb92c042137adf725ac81677cc675bc439951053f
0xb92c042137adf725ac81677cc675bc439951053f
- Realised P&L
- $1.85
- Volume
- $383.44
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $4.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.955 | $3.65 | +$1.74 |
| Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.490 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:38 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 01:23 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 17:20 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:06 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 23:46 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:38 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | BUY | 0.3259999641 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:58 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:52 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:17 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 15:58 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:47 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:56 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:17 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:08 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:58 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |