0xb8f62cf22da347690ddc2ff14ed5009374c4e884
0xb8f62cf22da347690ddc2ff14ed5009374c4e884
- Realised P&L
- $6.74
- Volume
- $314.36
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $5.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No | 0.505 | 0.965 | $1.91 | +$0.91 |
| Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.240 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? · No | 0.390 | 0.335 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.220 | $0.67 | −$0.83 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.180 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.520 | 0.045 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.27at 0.227Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$5.27at 0.227Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.46at 0.258Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.39at 0.312Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$2.75at 0.359Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 13:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:13 | Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 20:04 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 03:52 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.5049997551 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:14 | Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:57 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 02:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 18:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:51 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:49 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:49 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |