PolyBot

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Traders

0xb8f62cf22da347690ddc2ff14ed5009374c4e884

0xb8f62cf22da347690ddc2ff14ed5009374c4e884

Realised P&L
$6.74
Volume
$314.36
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$5.16

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No0.5050.965$1.91+$0.91
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? · Yes0.2100.240$1.14+$0.14
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? · No0.3900.335$0.86−$0.14
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4900.220$0.67−$0.83
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes0.3700.180$0.49−$0.51
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? · Down0.5200.045$0.09−$0.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 13:13Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-20 13:13S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-20 05:13Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-17 20:04Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-17 12:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-16 13:11SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.7$1.00
10-16 03:52Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.5049997551$1.00
10-15 19:14Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.77$1.00
10-15 10:57Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-15 02:55S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-14 18:55Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-12 06:51Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-11 22:50Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-11 14:49Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-11 06:49Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.59999988$1.00