PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811

0xb8ee94bd599a92d4747dda5f3bc6d2b243349e81

Realised P&L
$22.2k
Volume
$4.32M
Markets traded
11,987
Open portfolio
$19.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11,987
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7790.945$5.7k+$999.16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7810.945$1.5k+$264.68
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.1130.225$1.3k+$645.05
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.7100.945$898.18+$223.26
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.6220.987$789.33+$291.90
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.6260.415$461.73$234.57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1450.226$326.72+$116.92
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7790.818$311.30+$14.78
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.6530.880$288.86+$74.53
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.8471.000$248.90+$38.07
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.7610.930$248.81+$45.23
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.3880.585$229.82+$77.25
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9470.997$204.28+$10.16
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.7260.895$198.93+$37.56
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.8321.000$198.90+$33.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:58Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: O/U 3.5BUY0.43$2.58
09-17 02:53Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: O/U 3.5BUY0.55$27.50
09-17 02:47Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.71$3.55
09-17 02:47Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.18$9.00
09-17 02:47Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: Saint Louis City SC O/U 1.5BUY0.01$0.15
09-17 02:46Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: Saint Louis City SC O/U 1.5BUY0.01$0.05
09-17 02:46Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: O/U 3.5BUY0.76$22.04
09-17 02:46Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: O/U 2.5BUY0.44$22.00
09-17 02:08Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.86$4.30
09-17 02:06Colorado Rapids vs. Saint Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.304$7.60
09-17 02:06Saint Louis City SC leading at halftime?BUY0.65$32.50
09-17 00:31Will Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?BUY0.033$0.66
09-17 00:29Will Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?BUY0.069$0.41
09-17 00:29Exact Score: Botafogo FR 3 - 2 Grêmio FBPA?BUY0.077$2.31
09-17 00:28Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.91$23.66