PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AurelusM

0xb8cb99744a121190b46d6a6f39bfcf52b6928f46

Realised P&L
$-37.0k
Volume
$3.44M
Markets traded
1,190
Open portfolio
$304.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,190
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.040$118.50−$511.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.036$98.55−$360.45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.116$58.00−$297.00
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes0.2440.034$19.73−$124.05
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.7080.938$9.88+$2.42
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner · Kiwoom DRX0.2020.000$0.00−$1.2k
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner · Team Falcons0.5270.000$0.00−$1.6k
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 · Dplus KIA Challengers0.3050.000$0.00−$1.2k
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner · Nongshim Red Force0.3370.000$0.00−$1.2k
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Anyone's Legend0.2900.000$0.00−$1.3k
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Team WE0.2920.000$0.00−$874.92
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner · DN SOOPers0.1380.000$0.00−$695.05
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner · Oh My God0.5970.000$0.00−$2.4k
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner · Top Esports0.6100.000$0.00−$1.8k
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner · Team WE0.2390.000$0.00−$1.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 11:19LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.35$218.49
05-22 10:22LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2823336333$847.00
05-22 08:10Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)BUY0.47$470.00
05-22 08:10LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.2$600.00
05-21 03:41Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BUY0.41668596$1.0k
05-20 14:49Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)BUY0.66$399.56
05-17 15:30Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBUY0.3$150.00
05-17 15:20Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBUY0.32$160.00
05-17 15:02Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBUY0.5954568242$95.02
05-17 13:41Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)BUY0.44$220.00
05-17 10:26LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.5007697$500.77
05-17 10:25LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.5066472458$956.55
05-17 09:06LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3327264$998.18
05-17 08:54LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.53$920.02
05-17 08:54LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2SELL0.48572156$1.2k