PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AurelusM

0xb8cb99744a121190b46d6a6f39bfcf52b6928f46

Realised P&L
$-33.9k
Volume
$3.43M
Markets traded
1,190
Open portfolio
$925.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,190
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.155$465.00$165.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.525$262.50$92.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$175.50$283.50
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes0.2440.018$10.31$133.47
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.7080.944$9.94+$2.48
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner · Kiwoom DRX0.1970.000$0.00$1.2k
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner · Team Falcons0.5200.000$0.00$1.5k
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 · Dplus KIA Challengers0.3010.000$0.00$1.2k
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner · Nongshim Red Force0.3370.000$0.00$1.2k
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Anyones Legend0.2900.000$0.00$1.3k
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Team WE0.2920.000$0.00$874.92
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner · DN SOOPers0.1360.000$0.00$680.42
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner · Oh My God0.5900.000$0.00$2.4k
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner · Top Esports0.6100.000$0.00$1.8k
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner · Team WE0.2390.000$0.00$1.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 11:19LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.35$218.49
05-22 10:22LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2823336333$847.00
05-22 08:10Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)BUY0.47$470.00
05-22 08:10LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.2$600.00
05-21 03:41Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BUY0.41668596$1.0k
05-20 14:49Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)BUY0.66$399.56
05-17 15:30Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBUY0.3$150.00
05-17 15:20Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBUY0.32$160.00
05-17 15:02Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsBUY0.5954568242$95.02
05-17 13:41Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)BUY0.44$220.00
05-17 10:26LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.5007697$500.77
05-17 10:25LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.5066472458$956.55
05-17 09:06LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3327264$998.18
05-17 08:54LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.53$920.02
05-17 08:54LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2SELL0.48572156$1.2k