Eastassignment
0xb8b00aa530a1e0a57003336259b2c1f5f3e41281
- Realised P&L
- $-439.95
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $555.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.60at 0.332Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
- +$54.55at 0.327Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
- +$45.35at 0.046Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
- +$35.00at 0.300Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
- +$22.30at 0.669Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 07:47 | Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be under 45%? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 07-29 20:30 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.5299072727 | $116.58 |
| 07-29 20:28 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.52 | $93.60 |
| 07-29 20:27 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.51 | $142.80 |
| 06-25 12:32 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.821 | $41.05 |
| 06-24 05:50 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.9 | $123.30 |
| 06-23 09:31 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.72 | $20.16 |
| 06-23 09:26 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.71 | $17.75 |
| 06-23 09:14 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 06-22 06:30 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.09 |
| 06-22 06:30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.34 | $37.74 |
| 06-22 06:26 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.19 | $14.44 |
| 06-21 18:28 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.39 | $35.10 |
| 06-21 18:27 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.28 |
| 06-21 18:09 | Nothing Ever Happens: June | SELL | 0.975 | $39.00 |