PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Atreides.

0xb8777c0b5bbd63926364113db51d8ee55512a13f

Realised P&L
$46.3k
Volume
$4.11M
Markets traded
1,569
Open portfolio
$18.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,569
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.789$14.2k+$5.2k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.210$3.8k$5.2k
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · Yes0.1500.190$2.08+$0.44
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? · No0.5750.000$0.00$23.00
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner · Fnatic0.2700.000$0.00$151.20
Asia Cup: Bangladesh vs India · Bangladesh0.0150.000$0.00$3.00
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) · KRÜ Blaze0.0170.000$0.00$7.42
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner · Fnatic0.0740.000$0.00$22.13
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) · New Zealand0.0010.000$0.00$0.50
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$31.76
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 3 Winner · Rex Regum Qeon0.0010.000$0.00$0.99
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$28.03
Will Bangladesh win the 2025 Asia Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$65.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$136.00
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner · Karmine Corp0.0270.000$0.00$2.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:20Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?BUY0.048$2.40
09-06 19:30Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?SELL0.64$9.60
09-06 11:21Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?BUY0.07$3.50
09-06 11:20Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?BUY0.06$1.86
09-05 20:02Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?SELL0.17$34.34
09-05 19:37Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?SELL0.32$6.40
09-05 19:36Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?SELL0.1$1.00
09-05 19:35Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?BUY0.45$6.75
08-30 13:55Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ABUY0.9978674853$78.01
08-28 23:55Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsBUY0.999$2.4k
08-28 23:53Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsBUY0.999$1.4k
08-22 22:43Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.999$5.00
08-22 20:57Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?SELL0.2097560976$17.20
08-22 00:05Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.18$19.60
08-16 00:55Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InBUY0.999$22.49