0xb86ed0ed452bace4ed432980ae6426e3b8071810
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $772.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$397.09at 0.522France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$291.57at 0.125Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
- +$51.92at 0.107Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 8?
- +$51.10at 0.932Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?
- +$37.40at 0.056Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 01:29 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.309999998 | $83.00 |
| 07-24 01:28 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $82.35 |
| 07-21 02:59 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $80.00 |
| 07-21 02:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999998 | $800.00 |
| 07-20 22:57 | Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? | BUY | 0.1129976086 | $6.00 |
| 07-20 22:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $300.00 |
| 07-18 21:40 | Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.9288923679 | $700.00 |
| 07-18 21:33 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 21:24 | Désiré Doué: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 21:21 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.72 | $847.06 |
| 07-18 21:13 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $600.00 |
| 07-18 21:13 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.49 | $96.07 |
| 07-18 21:12 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:08 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.47 | $606.45 |
| 07-18 20:57 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1199999975 | $40.00 |