PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8631a907d752a110a78a04f8ee8190d3e2e332f

Realised P&L
$-16.69
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
817
Open portfolio
$53.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded817
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.994$3.89$0.01
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$3.89$0.00
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? · No0.9990.998$3.87$0.01
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$3.83$0.06
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$3.83$0.06
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$3.83$0.06
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$3.83$0.06
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.985$3.83$0.05
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$3.79$0.10
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026? · No0.9970.970$3.78$0.11
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.968$3.77$0.12
Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election? · No0.9980.998$3.75+$0.00
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$3.73$0.16
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$3.64$0.25
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9960.144$0.56$3.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.99$3.90
09-18 02:57Solana Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.99$3.90
09-18 02:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$3.90
09-18 02:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$3.90
09-18 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$3.90
09-17 23:58Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999995$3.90
09-17 21:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.99$3.90
09-17 20:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ETBUY0.99$3.90
09-17 09:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ETBUY0.999$3.90
09-17 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.999$3.90
09-17 07:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.999$3.89
09-17 07:55Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ETBUY0.9939999995$3.89
09-17 04:57Solana Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ETBUY0.996$3.89
09-16 20:57Solana Up or Down - September 16, 4PM ETBUY0.999$3.89
09-16 13:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9AM ETBUY0.998$3.89